NASA and Roscosmos Clash over the Seriousness of Possible “Catastrophic Failure” Threat from ISS Air Leakage

NASA and Roscosmos Clash over the Seriousness of Possible "Catastrophic Failure" Threat from ISS Air Leakage

NASA and Roscosmos Clash over the Seriousness of Possible “Catastrophic Failure” Threat from ISS Air Leakage


### Ongoing Air Leaks on the International Space Station: An Increasing Issue

The International Space Station (ISS), representative of global collaboration and technological progress, is encountering a substantial engineering dilemma: ongoing air leaks within one of its oldest modules. These leaks, situated in the transfer tunnel of the Russian Zvezda service module, have raised alarms for both NASA and Roscosmos, Russia’s space agency, since their initial discovery in 2019. Despite this, the two organizations have not come to an agreement regarding the root cause and seriousness of the issue, showcasing the difficulties involved in maintaining an aging space infrastructure.

#### The Zvezda Service Module: An Essential Element

Launched in July 2000, the Zvezda service module stands as one of the ISS’s oldest and most crucial components. It contains vital life-support systems and provides living accommodations for the crew. The transfer tunnel, referred to by its Russian acronym PrK, connects Zvezda to an interface where Soyuz crew capsules and Progress resupply vehicles dock with the station.

Since September 2019, the PrK has experienced air leakage. Russian cosmonauts have made various repair attempts that temporarily decreased the leak rate, yet the issue continues. Early 2024 saw a notable spike in the leak rate, leading NASA to classify the situation as a high-risk concern in its risk management framework. This categorization reflects a considerable likelihood of occurrence alongside potentially severe repercussions.

#### Divergent Views on the Source

The underlying cause of the leaks remains a divisive issue between NASA and Roscosmos. Bob Cabana, the newly appointed chair of NASA’s International Space Station Advisory Committee, notes that the Russian space agency attributes the fissures in the PrK to high cyclic fatigue due to micro-vibrations. In contrast, NASA leans towards a multi-faceted explanation, suggesting that factors like pressure and mechanical stress, residual stress in the materials, and exposure to space conditions may all play a role.

This disagreement highlights the complexities of identifying and solving intricate engineering issues in space, particularly when confronting an aging system. Zvezda and the PrK are set to celebrate 25 years in orbit in 2025, while the ISS itself is beginning to exhibit signs of degradation after over two decades of continuous service.

#### Risk Management Strategies

Regardless of the ongoing leaks, NASA’s ISS Vehicle Office at Johnson Space Center asserts that there is no immediate threat to the structural soundness of the station. This evaluation is based on precautionary measures that have been instituted to safeguard the ISS against potential structural failures in the PrK.

One such precaution involves keeping the PrK’s hatch closed unless access is necessary. The hatch is opened solely for cosmonauts to reach the Progress cargo vehicle docked at the other end of the transfer tunnel. Nonetheless, NASA and Roscosmos hold differing opinions on how sustainable this method will be. Should the leak rate continue to climb, the crew might ultimately have to permanently seal the PrK, limiting the available docking ports for Russian spacecraft.

#### An Engineering Challenge Awaiting Resolution

As the ISS ages, the urgency for a durable resolution to the air leaks intensifies. NASA has assembled a panel of independent specialists to evaluate the cracks and leaks in the PrK and assist in identifying the fundamental cause. Cabana noted that this issue is fundamentally an engineering challenge, and “competent engineers should be able to determine it.”

However, the scenario is further complicated by the contrasting risk evaluations from NASA and Roscosmos. While the Russian space agency asserts that ongoing operations are secure, NASA has raised alarms regarding the potential for a catastrophic failure. This variance in risk interpretation has prompted a cautious strategy, with the crew implementing additional safety measures, such as sealing the hatch between the US and Russian sections of the ISS during cosmonaut operations in the PrK.

#### Prospects for the ISS

The ISS is projected to remain functional at least until 2030; however, Roscosmos has only guaranteed support for the station until 2028. With the continued aging of the structure, more challenges similar to the PrK leaks are expected to emerge, necessitating collaborative efforts among international partners to ensure the ISS’s safety and durability.

In the interim, the crew aboard the station is adjusting to the circumstances, balancing their scientific endeavors with necessary precautions to manage the risks brought on by the leaks. As NASA astronaut Michael Barratt, who recently returned from the ISS, remarked, “It’s not a comfortable issue, but it represents the best consensus among all the knowledgeable individuals on both sides, and it’s a situation that we as a crew live with and adapt to.”

#### Conclusion

The ongoing air leaks in the Zvezda service module emphasize the difficulties inherent in maintaining an aging space platform in the extreme conditions of space. As NASA and Roscosmos persist in their efforts to uncover the leaks’ fundamental cause, the scenario underscores the significance