NASA Issues Revised Cost Projection for SLS Launch Tower, Sparking Worries

NASA Issues Revised Cost Projection for SLS Launch Tower, Sparking Worries

NASA Issues Revised Cost Projection for SLS Launch Tower, Sparking Worries


### NASA’s Mobile Launch Tower Initiative: An Expensive and Prolonged Challenge

NASA’s visionary efforts to back its Space Launch System (SLS) rocket, especially the enhanced Block 1B version, have faced notable hurdles regarding the construction of a new mobile launch tower. Initially estimated at $383 million, the project’s costs have surged to around $2.7 billion, as indicated by a recent report from NASA’s Office of Inspector General (OIG). This article examines the factors contributing to the escalating costs, the repercussions for NASA’s Artemis initiative, and the larger difficulties the agency encounters in managing substantial projects.

#### The Tower’s Expanding Dimensions

The mobile launch tower, referred to as Mobile Launcher 2 (ML-2), is an essential infrastructure element intended to support the SLS Block 1B rocket. Designed for use in the Artemis IV mission, this rocket version incorporates a more robust second stage named the Exploration Upper Stage. The mission’s goal is to transport both a crewed Orion spacecraft and a component of the Lunar Gateway into lunar orbit, representing a pivotal achievement in NASA’s Artemis initiative.

Nevertheless, building the ML-2 tower has been plagued by setbacks and budget overruns. Initially slated for completion in March 2023, the project is now anticipated to wrap up no sooner than September 2027, with expenses soaring to $2.7 billion—almost double the construction cost of the Burj Khalifa, the tallest building globally.

#### Root Causes: Misjudgment and Complexity

A central factor driving the ballooning costs and delays is Bechtel National, Inc.’s miscalculation of the project’s scope and complexity. The OIG report notes that Bechtel profoundly underestimated the labor hours needed for project completion. Consequently, the firm has logged far more labor hours than forecasted, with estimated overtime nearly doubling from May 2022 to January 2024.

This miscalculation has triggered a cascading effect on the project’s schedule and budget. The report indicates that Bechtel’s efforts to meet NASA’s timeline have resulted in a significant rise in labor costs, compounding the project’s financial difficulties.

#### The Consequences for NASA’s Artemis Initiative

Delays in the ML-2 project present critical challenges for NASA’s Artemis initiative, especially the Artemis IV mission. To adhere to the mission’s target launch date of 2028, the ML-2 tower must be ready by November 2026. However, both NASA and the OIG report concur that there exists a zero percent likelihood of achieving this deadline. Consequently, the Artemis IV mission, assuming it employs the upgraded SLS rocket, is not expected to launch before mid-2029 at the earliest.

This delay may have a cascading impact on subsequent Artemis missions, potentially pushing back NASA’s schedule for returning humans to the Moon and establishing a lasting presence on the lunar surface.

#### The Obstacles of Cost-Plus Contracts

A key insight from the OIG report is the limited bargaining power NASA has over Bechtel due to the cost-plus contract structure applied to the ML-2 project. Under a cost-plus arrangement, the contractor is reimbursed for all permissible expenses incurred and receives an additional fee for profit. This contract model offers minimal motivation for the contractor to manage costs or accelerate project timelines.

The report highlights that NASA could opt to modify the contract to a fixed-price structure, which would set a defined cost for the endeavor. However, NASA officials have stated that they do not plan to pursue this option, as they believe Bechtel would likely submit a cost proposal that exceeds NASA’s budget capacity to compensate for the additional risks linked to a fixed-price contract.

This scenario underscores the broader challenges NASA encounters in overseeing large-scale projects. While the cost-plus contracting model can be advantageous in specific situations, it has been criticized for causing cost overruns and delays in governmental undertakings. NASA Administrator Bill Nelson has previously voiced his discontent with the cost-plus approach, advocating for a transition towards fixed-price contracts to foster competition and cost management.

#### Conclusion: A Lesson for Future Endeavors

The persistent issues with the ML-2 project act as a cautionary example for NASA and other governmental organizations engaged in significant infrastructure projects. The substantial cost overruns and delays illuminate the necessity for accurate project forecasting, robust contract administration, and accountability in executing intricate engineering initiatives.

As NASA moves forward with its ambitious objectives under the Artemis program, it is vital for the agency to derive lessons from the ML-2 project. By adopting more rigorous project management strategies and investigating alternative contracting options, NASA can enhance its capacity to fulfill its long-term goals while mitigating the risks of future cost overruns and delays.

In the interim, the soaring costs and delays of