Trends in Release Timing for macOS, iPadOS, and iOS Throughout the Years

### Apple’s Autumn OS Launch Schedule: Insights and Projections for 2025

As WWDC25 concludes, the subsequent key event on Apple’s agenda is the autumn OS launch period. A recent chart has emerged, offering a visual depiction of the release timeline for Apple’s operating systems dating back to 2013.

Initially shared by Reddit user alexkaessner, the interactive timeline from Datawrapper showcases the usual trend of Apple’s autumn releases. The chart indicates that the Fall Keynote typically takes place in the early part of September (noted with blue dots), followed by the rollout of iOS and iPadOS roughly a week thereafter (represented by red dots), with macOS launches following (shown as orange dots).

One significant point drawn from the timeline is the postponement of macOS releases from 2019 to 2022, often extending into October and sometimes November. Nonetheless, in recent times, Apple has succeeded in narrowing this interval, with macOS releases coming more in line with those of iOS and iPadOS, including a simultaneous launch last year.

#### Anticipations for 2025

Traditionally, iOS 26 and iPadOS 26 are anticipated to debut in mid-to-late September, shortly after Apple’s autumn iPhone event. The schedule for macOS Tahoe 26 remains unclear. The previous year marked a change with a simultaneous launch of macOS alongside iOS and iPadOS, yet this has not been a steady pattern.

As Apple approaches more intricate cross-platform functionalities, new AI integrations, and the complexities of developing for various device categories, timelines may adjust. The expected Liquid Glass UI revamp could potentially streamline certain processes, but it might also present new challenges.

Moreover, iOS launches are intricately linked to iPhone debuts, and Apple has encountered supply chain uncertainties stemming from ongoing US-China trade tensions. Although recent updates imply a possible diminishment of these tensions, the unpredictability of the situation remains a variable that could influence release schedules.

In conclusion, while Apple’s historical trends afford a basis for expectations, the shifting nature of technology and global supply chains necessitates that flexibility and adaptability will be essential as the company approaches its autumn OS launch period.

New Study Questions Results of Apple’s LLM ‘Reasoning Breakdown’ Investigation

**The Deception of Thought: A Critical Analysis of Apple’s AI Research and Its Counterargument**

Apple’s latest AI research publication, “The Deception of Thought,” has generated considerable debate within the AI field due to its claim that even the most sophisticated Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) struggle with complex tasks. Nonetheless, this perspective has been contested by Alex Lawsen, a researcher at Open Philanthropy, who released a counterargument titled “The Deception of the Deception of Thought.” Lawsen contends that the problems emphasized in Apple’s findings arise from experimental design weaknesses rather than fundamental limitations in the reasoning abilities of LRMs.

### The Counterargument: Less “Deception of Thought,” More “Deception of Assessment”

Lawsen’s analysis recognizes that while LRMs do encounter difficulties with intricate planning tasks, Apple’s conclusions misinterpret the motivations behind these difficulties. He pinpoints three main flaws in Apple’s experimental design:

1. **Token Budget Constraints Overlooked**: Lawsen indicates that Apple’s assertion of model “collapse” during the Tower of Hanoi challenges with 8 or more disks neglects the fact that models such as Claude were hitting their token output limits. He refers to instances where models explicitly mention truncating outputs to save tokens.

2. **Classifying Unsolvable Puzzles as Failures**: In Apple’s River Crossing assessment, some puzzles were unsolvable due to mathematical limitations (e.g., exceeding the boat’s capacity). Lawsen argues that models were penalized for acknowledging these impossibilities and opting not to pursue a solution.

3. **Evaluation Algorithms Mislabeling Outputs**: Apple’s evaluation was dependent on automated systems that assessed models primarily based on complete move sequences. This methodology did not consider circumstances where tasks surpassed token limits, resulting in unjust classifications of partial or strategic outputs as complete failures.

### Alternative Testing: Allow the Model to Generate Code Instead

To support his argument, Lawsen executed a subset of the Tower of Hanoi tests using an alternative method: requesting models to create a recursive Lua function to produce the solution rather than detailing all moves. The outcomes demonstrated that models such as Claude, Gemini, and OpenAI’s o3 successfully generated correct algorithmic solutions for 15-disk challenges, countering Apple’s assertions of zero success at that complexity level.

Lawsen concludes that when artificial output restrictions are lifted, LRMs exhibit a strong capability for reasoning about complex tasks, especially in terms of algorithm generation.

### The Significance of This Dispute

This conversation goes beyond simple academic critique; it has greater consequences for the comprehension of LLMs’ reasoning skills. Apple’s paper has been extensively referenced as proof that current LLMs lack scalable reasoning capabilities. Lawsen’s counterargument implies a more intricate reality: while LLMs encounter difficulties with long-form token counting under current constraints, their reasoning mechanisms may be more resilient than previously suggested.

Lawsen acknowledges that genuine algorithmic generalization remains a hurdle and stresses the necessity for forthcoming research to concentrate on:

1. Creating evaluations that distinguish between reasoning capability and output limitations.
2. Confirming the solvability of puzzles prior to evaluating model performance.
3. Employing complexity metrics that mirror computational difficulty rather than simply solution length.
4. Considering various solution representations to differentiate algorithmic comprehension from execution.

The essence of Lawsen’s argument is that before branding the reasoning capabilities of LRMs as inherently flawed, it is crucial to reevaluate the evaluation criteria that are being utilized.

In conclusion, the ongoing discourse regarding Apple’s research and Lawsen’s counterargument underscores the significance of meticulous experimental design and evaluation in AI research. It advocates for a more nuanced understanding of LLM capabilities and the conditions under which they are assessed.

Apple Introduces Refurbished M4 MacBook Air Models in Its Store

**Apple Unveils Refurbished MacBook Air Featuring M4 Chip: Is It Worth It?**

Apple has recently rolled out refurbished versions of its MacBook Air that come with the M4 chip, providing customers with a significant markdown of around 15% off the suggested retail price (MSRP). This initiative follows the launch of other refurbished items, such as the Apple Watch Ultra 2 in Black and the M4 Max/M3 Ultra Mac Studio, just earlier this week.

### Assurance of Quality in Refurbished Items

Apple’s refurbishment initiative is well-known for its stringent quality standards. Refurbished Macs generally look as good as brand new, with the sole observable distinction being the packaging. The program guarantees that all critical components are changed, giving purchasers confidence. Moreover, every refurbished item includes a one-year warranty, with an option to acquire AppleCare+ for extended protection.

### Costs and Availability

The refurbished M4 MacBook Air models begin at $849 and come in four appealing colors: Sky Blue, Starlight, Midnight, and Silver. The standard setups feature a 256GB SSD and 16GB of RAM. However, the 15-inch variants are currently out of stock, though they are anticipated to be available soon.

Interestingly, while the refurbished units offer a fair deal, Amazon is also offering the brand-new M4 MacBook Air at the same starting price of $849. Additionally, the 15-inch M4 MacBook Air can be found on Amazon for $1,049.

### Premium Configurations

For those in search of advanced specifications, Apple’s refurbished shop provides attractive choices. For example, a refurbished 13-inch M4 MacBook Air with a 1TB SSD and 32GB of RAM is priced at $1,529. This configuration offers substantial savings for users needing superior performance.

### Final Thoughts

Apple’s refurbished store continues to be an attractive option for consumers aiming to buy quality Macs at lower prices. With strong warranties and guaranteed quality, these refurbished models can be an excellent selection for both budget-minded shoppers and those interested in premium configurations. For more information on Apple’s refurbished products, readers can check out additional resources and comparisons online.

Apple Tackles Significant Passkey Problems in iOS 26 Update

Apple’s forthcoming OS updates are poised to unveil a much-anticipated functionality designed to improve the usability of passkeys across various platforms and applications. This innovative feature will enable users to effortlessly and securely export and import passkeys, tackling a major limitation that has impeded the uptake of this security solution.

Traditionally, passkeys generated on Apple devices such as Macs, iPhones, and iPads were restricted to the Apple ecosystem. Although they could sync between iCloud-connected devices, moving them to other platforms like Windows or Android, or to third-party credential managers, was not possible. This limitation sparked worries about vendor lock-in, as users faced challenges in accessing their passkeys if they changed devices or lost connection to their Apple hardware.

The issue of portability is not exclusive to Apple; it has been a common challenge within the tech industry. The FIDO Alliance, which comprises key stakeholders like Google, Microsoft, and various password management services, has been striving to create secure methods for diverse platforms and applications to interact while maintaining the security that passkeys offer.

With the backing of the FIDO Alliance, Apple is now implementing native support for passkey import and export. This functionality will be part of the upcoming iOS 26, macOS Tahoe 26, iPadOS 26, and visionOS 26 updates. Notably, this new system will not only ease the transfer of passkeys but will also permit the secure movement of passwords and verification codes.

A major enhancement in this feature is the transfer method. In contrast to conventional password exports that frequently involve unencrypted files, the new approach aims to be end-to-end encrypted. Transfers will take place directly between credential manager apps or from the system keychain to an application, needing local authentication, such as Face ID or Touch ID, to kick off the process. This method mitigates the risks associated with keeping sensitive data in export files.

Apple’s demonstration highlighted that this feature enables users by giving them increased control over their data and the option to select their preferred credential manager. This signifies a significant transformation in Apple’s strategy, moving away from the closely integrated Keychain ecosystem that has defined its services.

The launch of this feature later this year is anticipated to ease concerns about ecosystem lock-in, motivating more users to embrace passkeys as a secure alternative to conventional passwords. For those curious about the technical details, comprehensive information is available in Apple’s “What’s new in passkeys” session on the Apple Developer website.

Guide to Viewing the Latest Apple TV+ Film Starring Sydney Sweeney and Julianne Moore

**Echo Valley: A Fresh Thriller on Apple TV+**

Echo Valley is a fresh film streaming globally on Apple TV+ starting today. This R-rated thriller showcases Sydney Sweeney and Julianne Moore in captivating mother-daughter roles. If you are new to Apple’s streaming platform, here’s how to begin.

**Getting Access to Echo Valley**

Echo Valley is exclusively available via the Apple TV app, which acts as the home for the Apple TV+ streaming service. Along with films available for purchase or rental, the TV+ tab features a selection of nearly 300 original TV shows and movies.

The Apple TV app can be downloaded on multiple platforms, including Apple devices, smart TVs, gaming consoles, and Android phones and tablets. You can also view it in a web browser at tv.apple.com.

While the Apple TV app is free to download, a subscription is necessary to view the movie. Apple TV+ generally costs $9.99 per month in the US, but new users can register for a seven-day free trial.

Apple TV+ is also accessible as part of the Apple One bundle, via selected carrier mobile plans, and as a complimentary benefit for Apple Music Student subscribers. One subscription can be shared with up to six individuals via Family Sharing.

To view Echo Valley, launch the Apple TV app, tap on the Apple TV+ tab at the bottom, and scroll down to the New Releases section. Echo Valley will be prominently displayed as the newest entry. You can begin watching right away or add it to your Continue Watching list.

**What’s the Story of Echo Valley?**

Echo Valley is a gripping thriller that delves into the troubled relationship between mother Kate (Julianne Moore) and daughter Claire (Sydney Sweeney). The situation intensifies when Claire appears at her mother’s home drenched in blood. In spite of their conflicts, Kate is resolute in unraveling the mystery and safeguarding her daughter, revealing the lengths she will go to for her family.

iPhone XS Classified as Vintage: Consequences for Repair and Support Services

Apple has officially categorized the iPhone XS as a vintage product, signifying an important moment in the lifecycle of this device. The iPhone XS, which debuted in September 2018, acted as the successor to the iPhone X and represented a progressive upgrade instead of a complete overhaul. With the iPhone XS now in the vintage category, users of this device should take note of the ramifications concerning support and repair alternatives.

A device is designated as “vintage” five years after it has stopped being available through official retail channels. The iPhone XS has now crossed this line, following the iPhone XS Max, which was included on the vintage list in November 2023. The iPhone XS introduced improvements such as the A12 Bionic chip, enhanced camera functions, and dual SIM support via eSIM, while keeping the design of its predecessor intact.

Being recognized as vintage indicates that although repairs might still be accessible through Apple Stores and Authorized Service Providers, this is dependent on the availability of replacement parts. Users should understand that in two years, the iPhone XS will move to an “obsolete” classification, at which time Apple will no longer extend any hardware support for the device.

Alongside the iPhone XS, Apple has also designated the fifth-generation iPad as obsolete. Moreover, the status of the 2018 Mac mini remains ambiguous, as Apple has advised owners to check with authorized service channels regarding its servicing status.

For those still utilizing the iPhone XS, it is recommended to explore repair solutions sooner rather than later, as the supply of parts may decrease over time. The progression of these devices into vintage and obsolete classifications highlights the swift pace of technological evolution and the lifecycle of consumer electronics.

iOS 26 Design Improvements Boost Appeal for iPhone 17 Air

After months of speculation, Apple has officially presented its major iOS 26 ‘Liquid Glass’ redesign, already generating excitement for the upcoming iPhone 17 Air. Here’s the reason why.

### Liquid Glass Integrates iPhone Hardware and Software More Cohesively Than Ever

The new Liquid Glass design of iOS 26 and Apple’s other platforms signifies a long-term transformation. As Craig Federighi mentioned in the keynote, this represents a once-in-a-decade transition for Apple, laying the groundwork for years of future hardware advancements.

The more one reflects on the new design of iOS 26, the more enthusiasm grows for the iPhone 17 Air. By the time iOS 26 launches this fall, Apple will have just introduced its new ultra-slim iPhone model, which was certainly crafted with Liquid Glass in mind.

Designer Sebastiaan de With effectively expressed the idea well before WWDC, noting that Apple’s interface finally reflects the stunning material qualities of its devices. With all device surfaces featuring glass screens, this fresh interface provides a corresponding material, allowing users to feel the glass itself coming to life.

With Liquid Glass, iOS 26 looks to harmoniously combine the iPhone’s hardware and software, establishing a closer relationship than ever before. This combination is anticipated to excel on the ultra-sleek new iPhone 17 Air.

### Why iPhone 17 Air Might Be the Ideal Match for iOS 26

During the WWDC keynote, as Federighi demonstrated iOS 26 on his iPhone, it became clear that the current iPhone design appeared antiquated for the new software. The thick, cumbersome design of existing models does not appear to align well with Liquid Glass.

Liquid Glass seems to be designed for devices where the display serves as the primary design feature, embodying the envisioned “single slab of glass” design that Jony Ive has pursued for years. This dream is anticipated to be fully manifested in 2027 with a unique 20th anniversary ‘all-screen’ iPhone, but for this year, the iPhone 17 Air appears to be the best realization of this concept.

Liquid Glass will undoubtedly represent a refreshing change for all iPhone models, yet the iPhone 17 Air, with its dramatically sleek design, could reflect a glimpse of the future today. The design of iOS 26 and Liquid Glass is tailored for slimmer, lighter iPhones, which is precisely what the iPhone 17 Air aims to offer.

### Conclusion

The excitement around iOS 26’s Liquid Glass design and its synergy with the iPhone 17 Air underscores a significant shift in Apple’s design approach. The seamless integration of hardware and software promises to elevate user experience, making the forthcoming iPhone model more enticing than ever.

London Pair Employs AirTag to Retrieve Stolen Vehicle Following Police Inactivity

### London Couple Reclaims Stolen Jaguar E-Pace Using Apple AirTag

A pair from Brook Green, Hammersmith, London, managed to find and reclaim their stolen Jaguar E-Pace this week, aided by an Apple AirTag concealed within the vehicle. This occurrence showcases the capabilities of tracking technology in retrieving stolen goods, particularly when law enforcement may not act swiftly.

#### The Incident

On June 3, the couple’s £46,000 Jaguar E-Pace was taken from in front of their residence. Upon discovering that their vehicle was gone, they activated the AirTag, which supplied them with real-time location information. The tracking guided them to a nearby area in Chiswick.

Even with accurate location details, the couple encountered obstacles when they reached out to the Metropolitan Police. They mentioned receiving an unclear response, prompting them to handle the situation themselves, intending to visit the location on their own.

#### Recovery Efforts

In a comment to BBC News, one of the owners voiced worry that the AirTag could be removed along with the car, which spurred their swift actions. Upon reaching the site indicated by the AirTag, they discovered their vehicle parked on a residential street. After encountering some complications with the car’s remote security features, they succeeded in unlocking and retrieving the car.

The Metropolitan Police later noted that an investigation was underway, stating that officers met with the victims as a part of their inquiries.

#### Cautionary Note

Although this story had a happy ending, it acts as a warning. Experts recommend against confronting car thieves or trying to retrieve stolen property without police involvement. Apple also states that the AirTag is not advertised as an anti-theft gadget.

This situation contributes to a rising number of instances where AirTags have played a crucial role in finding stolen items, occasionally more effectively than law enforcement agencies.

#### Conclusion

The effective recovery of the Jaguar E-Pace highlights the power of tracking technology in fighting vehicle theft. However, it also prompts significant questions regarding the role of law enforcement in addressing such situations and the safety of individuals who take recovery actions on their own.